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  • Aleksey Kushch
    Aleksey Kushch “This is an unexpected, but, unfortunately for Ukraine, a very effective move. Unlike many top Russian officials, Belousov has not been involved in corruption scandals and has a reputation as a workaholic technocrat and a devout Orthodox Christian. Putin wants him to clean the Augean stables of the defence ministry so that military spending spearheads the resurgence of Russia's economy. The effectiveness of Russia's military-industrial complex will be boosted, and instead of being a 'black hole' of budget spendings, the defence ministry may become a driver of economic growth, when war spendings stimulate the growth of Russia's GDP.” 10 minutes ago
  • Jimmy Rushton
    Jimmy Rushton “Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.” 23 hours ago
  • Konstantin Sonin
    Konstantin Sonin “Things are not going according to Putin's plan, but he will endlessly rotate the same small group of loyalists. Putin has always feared to bring new people to the positions of authority - even in the best of times, they must have been nobodies with no own perspectives. Toward the end of his rule, even more so.” 23 hours ago
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08 Dec 2020

“The NDAA [National Defense Authorization Act] has contradictory clauses concerning U.S. forces in Korea. For the third year in a row, Congress approved a clause inhibiting the reduction of U.S. forces out of concern that President Trump might do so over bilateral differences in Special Measures Agreement (SMA) negotiations. However, the 5G clause could be read as requiring a reduction if Seoul does not prohibit the inclusion of Chinese 5G technology. Washington could request certification that no Chinese 5G technology is used in any communication systems linking Korean and U.S. military units nor will it be used in future sales of U.S. military equipment to Seoul. Doing so could reduce concerns that alliance command and control systems could be compromised. One of the conditions of OPCON [operational control] transition requires certification that Seoul can command combined U.S.-Korean military operations. Concerns over the integrity of bilateral military communications, as well as links with the United Nations sending states' military units, could become a factor in transition discussions.”

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Former CIA analyst and senior researcher at the Heritage Foundation
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  • 08 December 2020
  • 08 December 2020
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