IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Wang Wenbin
    Wang Wenbin “China is not the creator of or a party to the Ukraine Crisis. We have been on the side of peace and dialogue and committed to promoting peace talks. We actively support putting in place a balanced, effective and sustainable European security architecture. Our fair and objective position and constructive role have been widely recognized. 'Let the person who tied the bell on the tiger untie it,' to quote a Chinese saying. Our message to the US: stop shifting the blame on China; do not try to drive a wedge between China and Europe; and it is time to stop fueling the flame and start making real contribution to finding a political solution to the Ukraine crisis.” 6 hours ago
  • Korean Central News Agency
    Korean Central News Agency “On May 17, the North Korean Missile General Bureau conducted a test launch of a tactical ballistic missile equipped with a new navigation system of autonomous guidance. The test launch confirmed the accuracy and reliability of the system. The launch was carried out as part of the regular activities of the North Korean Missile General Bureau and subordinate defense research institutes for the active development of weapons technology.” 6 hours ago
  • Yang Moo-jin
    Yang Moo-jin “It is part of North Korea's propaganda approach to develop a voice in global affairs. Kim's statement comes amid Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping holding talks in Beijing, the West pressuring North Korea and Russia with sanctions and South Korea planning to stage Ulchi Freedom Shiled, a joint annual military drill with the U.S. in August. It may be true that North Korea is honing existing weapons to attack Seoul, but we cannot rule out the possibility of the country pulling weapons from its stocks and shipping them to Russia after further testing and deploying.” 6 hours ago
  • Park Won-gon
    Park Won-gon “Kim's [Kim Yo-jong syster of the North Korean leader Kim Jong-un] statement suggests that North Korea is concerned about international sanctions. I believe sanctions are still an effective tool. North Korea fears that if it admits its arms dealings with Russia, it may turn its European allies into enemies.” 7 hours ago
  • Kim Yo-jong
    Kim Yo-jong “We have no intention to export our military technical capabilities to any country or open them to the public. Our tactical weapons, including multiple rocket launchers and missiles, will be used to prevent Seoul from inventing any idle thinking.” 7 hours ago
  • Frank Kendall
    Frank Kendall “China has fielded a number of space capabilities designed to target our forces. And we're not going to be able operate in the Western Pacific successfully unless we can defeat those. China had tripled its network of intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance satellites since 2018.” 7 hours ago
  • Ants Kiviselg
    Ants Kiviselg “The Russian Armed Forces are advancing on the recently opened Kharkiv front, but their pace is slowing down. This and the nature of their behaviour rather indicate a desire to create a buffer zone. Russian troops have attacked and destroyed important bridges in the area of Vovchansk, which creates a natural barrier between Ukrainian and Russian forces. This is more an indication of the intention of Russian forces to build a defensive line than to create a bridgehead for an advance on Kharkiv.” 16 hours ago
  • Vladimir Putin
    Vladimir Putin “Russia is ready and able to continuously power the Chinese economy, businesses, cities and towns with affordable and environmentally clean energy.” 16 hours ago
  • Alexey Muraviev
    Alexey Muraviev “There are limits to the two nations' ties, despite their insistence that it is limitless. The limits are that the two countries don't have a formal alliance agreement. To me, that's very clearly a sign that there are limitations to what seems to be a limitless relationship. Neither side is prepared to unconditionally commit to support each other on issues like Ukraine.” 16 hours ago
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US - South Korea relations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context US - South Korea relations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“For the US-South Korea relationship, the biggest challenge is something that the alliance doesn't really have any control over: US domestic politics.”

author
Marshall M. Bouton Fellow for Asia Studies at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs
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“When the Reuters reporter asked him point blank if joint nuclear exercises were being discussed, President Biden obviously had to say, 'No'. outh Korea and the United States are in talks over information-sharing, joint planning and the joint implementation plans that follow, in relation to the operation of US nuclear assets, to respond to North Korea's nuclear weapons.”

author
South Korean President Yoon’s senior secretary for press affairs
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“What we call extended deterrence was also the US telling us not to worry because it will take care of everything, but now, it's difficult to convince our people with just that. The US government also understands that to some degree. To better respond to North Korea's nuclear threats, Seoul wants to take part in the operation of US nuclear forces. The nuclear weapons belong to the United States, but planning, information sharing, exercises and training should be jointly conducted by South Korea and the United States.”

author
President of South Korea
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“There is no way that the U.S. government will revise the law because Biden has touted it as one of his biggest achievements in office ahead of the midterm elections in November. In addition, the U.S. cannot give an exception only to Korea, while its other close allies are subject to the IRA [Inflation Reduction Act].”

author
Professor of North Korean studies at Ewha Womans University
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“President Biden and I agreed that the sophistication of North Korea's military capabilities, such as missiles and its nuclear program, has posed grave concerns to the security of our two countries. In response, President Biden reemphasized his commitment to the U.S. government's extended deterrence commitment to South Korea. In detail, we agreed to begin discussions on expanding our joint military exercises, which are key to our combined defense capability, and to coordinate with each other on deploying U.S. strategic assets and additional measures. In order to prepare ourselves for a possible nuclear attack from North Korea, there have been discussions that our two countries' combined military exercise should be carried out in various ways.”

author
President of South Korea
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“President Biden's visit to Pyeongtaek Campus [Samsung Electronics Pyeongtaek Campus] not only manifests the significance of semiconductors in economic and national security but also gives an opportunity to recall the meaning of the Korea-U.S. global comprehensive alliance through semiconductors. I ask President Biden to provide various incentives for Korean semiconductor companies' investment toward the U.S. and pay greater attention to U.S. equipment and designing companies' investments in Korea. And I hope today's visit will result in upgrading Korea-U.S. relations to become an economic security alliance which is based on advanced technologies and supply chain partnerships.".”

author
President of South Korea
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“Now Putin's brutal and unprovoked war in Ukraine has further spotlighted the need to secure our critical supply chain so that our economy and our economic and our national security are not dependent on countries that don't share our values. The critical component of how we'll do that in my view is by working with close partners who do share our values like the Republic of Korea to secure more of what we need from our allies and partners and bolster our supply chain resilience. Our two nations work together to make the best most advanced technology in the world and this factory is proof of that. That gives both the Republic of Korea and the U.S. a competitive edge in the global economy, if we can keep our supply chains resilient, reliable and secure.”

author
President of the United States
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“The president's lucky in who he has as counterparts. I was doing the math on this, and it's been at least 20 years since an American president could travel to Japan and Korea and count on the leaders in both countries being so forthrightly pro-alliance.”

author
Asia expert at Washington’s Center for Strategic and International Studies
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“At its core this (trip) is about building out the alliance network in East Asia, in part to counter any Chinese actions against Taiwan.”

author
Asia specialist in the Obama administration and professor at Georgetown University
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“There has been a common understanding between me and Kim [Sung Kim] that South Korea can secure greater room in addressing North Korea's denuclearization or other issues when the relations between Seoul and Washington become stronger.”

author
South Korea Unification Minister nominee
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“It seems that Yoon [Yoon Suk-yeol] is carrying out what he said during the presidential campaign - rebuilding the South Korea-U.S. alliance. There is no doubt that we should have the alliance as the basis of our diplomacy, but it is also true that we cannot rule out China given the intertwined relationship with North Korea and other neighboring countries. The current situation forces South Korea to choose a side between the U.S. and China, but we also have to think about risks associated with uncertainty surrounding the U.S. side.”

author
Professor of North Korean studies at Ewha Womans University
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“It is obvious fact that the South Korea-U.S. alliance is the main pillar of Seoul's diplomacy, national security and economic policies. However, it is uncertain whether the Yoon administration [Yoon Suk-yeol] is pursuing policies leaning toward the U.S. after considering the costs of such policies. It seems that Yoon is engaging with the U.S. without contingency plans for North Korea's nuclear and missile threats and the side effects of joining the U.S. bandwagon. Regarding the Korean delegation to the U.S., Yoon has revealed his hand too quickly and even if he decides to send delegations to China, he needs to be more prudent about the consequences.”

author
Director of the U.S-China Policy Institute at Ajou University
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“The looming prospect of possible nuclear tests, more joint U.S.-South Korea military drills, and the new conservative South Korean president mean all conditions are present for a tit-for-tat chain reaction of escalatory steps. Though Biden would prefer to focus exclusively on the Ukraine crisis, it's likely he will soon face crisis-level tensions between the Koreas.”

author
CEO of Korea Risk Group
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“I will respond decisively to the illegal and unreasonable behaviors of North Korea based on principles, while always keeping the door for inter-Korean dialogue open. I will rebuild the ROK-U.S. alliance and strengthen the comprehensive strategic alliance, while sharing the core values of liberal democracy, a market economy and human rights. I will develop bilateral relations of mutual respect between Korea and China and create a future-oriented Korea-Japan relationship.”

author
South Korea President-elect
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“We are taking on the task of improving [South] Korea's diplomatic capability amid North Korea's growing nuclear threats and intensifying U.S.-China competition. To protect the people's safety and the country's sovereignty, I will build a strong national defense capability which can deter any provocation. … I will rebuild the Korea-U.S. alliance and strengthen it further by sharing the value of liberal democracy, free market and human rights.”

author
South Korea President-elect
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“I would focus on bolstering a comprehensive and strategic alliance with the United States based on the shared values and principles of freedom, democracy, the market economy, constitutionalism and human rights. I will pursue open cooperation to expand common interests with related countries in the region by participating in working groups for vaccines, climate change and new technology under the Quad, a partnership between the U.S., Japan, Australia and India.”

author
Former Prosecutor General and 2022 South Korea Presidential candidate
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“Lee [Lee Jae-myung] has consistently called for a universal basic income. He is currently taking a rather soft position on the matter, saying he would not unilaterally push for the basic income policy without social consensus. But it is likely that he would put a stronger drive into introducing a basic income once elected. In contrast, Yoon [Yoon Suk-yeol] would shift the focus of economic policies to encouraging entrepreneurial growth over wealth distribution, introducing more business-friendly policies by easing regulations and offering tax incentives. If Yoon is elected, he would emphasize the principle that denuclearization should come first before inter-Korean cooperation, whereas Lee would continue the engagement policies pursued by the Roh Moo-hyun and Moon Jae-in governments. For other neighboring countries, Lee would try to strike a balance between China and the U.S. amid their growing rivalry, but it would be hard to expect that bilateral relations between South Korea and Japan could improve under Lee's leadership, as he is focused on the historical issues between the countries. For Yoon, it is obvious that he would be committed to strengthening the South Korea-U.S. alliance and improving relations with Japan, considering the figures selected as members of his election camp.”

author
Opinion poll expert and head of Insight K
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“Will a summit with Xi help the Moon government build a sustainable foreign policy platform vis-a-vis several foreign policy issues - the alliance with the U.S., dealing with the North Korea challenge, and Seoul's alignment between Washington and Beijing? It's unclear. There seem to be more pitfalls associated with this decision. It renders uncertainties in the U.S.-ROK alliance even more apparent and it may stir the pot in tensions between Washington and Beijing. The long-term costs far outweigh the very short-term political gains associated with Seoul's conduct.”

author
Former CIA analyst now with the Rand Corp
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