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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Daoud Kuttab
    Daoud Kuttab “Throughout this Israeli war on Gaza, there hasn't been a warning publicly made by the US that Israel has heeded. It is indeed unclear to what extent such warnings are just optics of putting pressure on the Israeli government while continuing to support its every move. In this sense, one should take with a grain of salt reports that the Biden administration is holding off one shipment of weapons to Israel to pressure it into halting the full-scale invasion of Rafah.” 10 hours ago
  • Bernie Sanders
    Bernie Sanders “The US must now use ALL its leverage to demand an immediate ceasefire, the end of the attacks on Rafah, and the immediate delivery of massive amounts of humanitarian aid to people living in desperation. Our leverage is clear. Over the years, the United States has provided tens of billions of dollars in military aid to Israel.” 11 hours ago
  • Lloyd Austin
    Lloyd Austin “We've been very clear … from the very beginning that Israel shouldn't launch a major attack into Rafah without accounting for and protecting the civilians that are in that battlespace. We've not made a final determination on how to proceed with that shipment [of weapons].” 11 hours ago
  • Vuk Vuksanović
    Vuk Vuksanović “This visit [Xi Jinping in Belgrade] shows that Serbia has exchanged Russia for China went it comes to its main partner to bargain with the West. The full-scale invasion of Ukraine placed the Serbo-Russian relationship under close monitoring, so the government sees a benefit in playing the Chinese card more often now since it's deemed to be less provocative. The Balkans, and Serbia in particular, have become even more interesting for China now that one branch of the Belt and Road Initiative through Russia and Belarus was effectively cut off with the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.” 12 hours ago
  • Aleksandar Vucic
    Aleksandar Vucic “I told him [Xi Jinping] that as the leader of a great power he will be met with respect all over the world, but the reverence and love he encounters in our Serbia will not be found anywhere else. When it comes to cooperation with Beijing, the sky is the limit.” 12 hours ago
  • Catherine Russell
    Catherine Russell “Rafah is now a city of children, who have nowhere safe to go in Gaza. If large-scale military operations start, not only will children be at risk from the violence, but also from chaos and panic, and at a time where their physical and mental states are already weakened.” 16 hours ago
  • Hani Mahmoud
    Hani Mahmoud “You cannot create a safe zone in a war zone. Every time people move from one place to another, they are in search of basic needs and … necessities that are becoming very hard to find right now.” 16 hours ago
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Russia war in Ukraine - Considerations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia war in Ukraine - Considerations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“Many people would like to see China play a constructive role, but I think now that we're in the third year of the war, this idea is wearing a bit thin.”

author
Director of the Brussels-based Center for Russia Europe Asia Studies
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“We will give three billion pounds every year for as long as is necessary. We've just really emptied all we can in terms of giving equipment. The aid package was the largest from the UK so far. Some of that (equipment) is actually arriving in Ukraine today, while I'm here. Ukraine has a right to use the weapons provided by London to strike targets inside Russia, and that it was up to Kyiv whether to do so. Ukraine has that right. Just as Russia is striking inside Ukraine, you can quite understand why Ukraine feels the need to make sure it's defending itself.”

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UK Foreign Secretary
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“For months the U.S. was unable to agree a package and European allies have been unable to deliver ammunition at the scale we promised. Ukraine has been outgunned for months and forced to ration its ammunition.... More support is on the way.”

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Secretary General of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
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“Timely support for our army. Today I don't see anything positive on this point yet. There are supplies, they have slowly begun, but this process needs to be sped up. Promptness in supply literally means a stabilization of the front line.... Together we must disrupt the Russian offensive.”

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President of Ukraine
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“On the Ukrainian side, the panic is growing on the frontline. And this is first-hand information that there, on that side, the panic is growing. It is very important for us now to maintain this dynamics. It is very important not to stop and continue fulfilling [the tasks of the special military operation].”

author
Kremlin spokesman
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“In general, the enemy achieved certain tactical successes in these areas [villages of Berdychi and Semenivka, north of Avdiivka, and Novomykhailivka, near the town of Maryinka], but could not gain operational advantages.”

author
Ukraine’s commander of ground forces
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“The aid is a surprisingly exact match of Ukrainian military's needs that mostly has a deficit of air defence weaponry of all kinds and also needs to replenish its arsenal of tank destroyers, anti-infantry landmines and other kinds of ammunition. It's obviously needed to deliver infantry and other ground troops to the front line but not for an advance - otherwise the US would have given tanks.”

author
Research Fellow at Bremen University
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“The aid can improve the situation on the 1,000km-long (620-mile-long) front line. But the aid looks like a handout to show that we haven't been forgotten, no more than that. They're always late, they hit the brakes, they're afraid. All of that is done to catch up [with Russia], but wars are won by those who act ahead of time.”

author
Lieutenant General - Former deputy chief of Ukraine’s general staff of armed forces
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“The return of Crimea is absolutely unrealistic. Before the failure of Ukraine's counteroffensive last summer there was a chance to return the annexed peninsula had Ukrainian forces reached the Azov Sea and started shelling the Crimean bridge and the Kerch Strait that divides the Azov and Black seas. But now it's hardly real to penetrate Russian defence farther than the takeover of the Kinburn peninsula.”

author
Research Fellow at Bremen University
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“In proportion to the threats posed by the United States and its allies, we will continue to improve the composition and structure of the armed forces and increase the production of the most popular weapons and military equipment. We will increase the intensity of attacks on logistics centres and storage bases for Western weapons.”

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Russian Defence Minister
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“According to our assessment, we are anticipating a rather difficult situation shortly. However, it is not catastrophic, and this must be understood. Armageddon will not happen, despite what many are starting to claim. But we anticipate problems from mid-May. The Russians will adopt a multifaceted approach. They are orchestrating a complex operation... It will be a difficult period. [Expect this to unfold] around mid-May to early June.”

author
Head of Ukraine's military intelligence service
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“In Europe the atmosphere is war, politics is dominated by the logic of war. I see everyone preparing for war. We are one step away from the West sending troops to Ukraine. This is a vortex of war that could push Europe into the abyss. Brussels he is playing with fire. We Hungarians know what war is like. We've been involved enough times. We don't want war and we don't want Hungary to become a playground for the great powers again. This is why we must fight for peace - at home, in Brussels, in Washington, at the United Nations and in NATO.”

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Prime Minister of Hungary
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“Just this year Ukraine had been attacked by almost 1,200 Russian missiles, more than 1,500 drones and 8,500 guided bombs amid a slowdown in Western military assistance. We are telling this directly - to defend, we need seven more 'Patriots' or similar air defence systems, and it's a minimum number. They can save many lives and really change the situation.”

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President of Ukraine
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“Since the fall of Avdiivka in Ukraine's east on February 17 [2024], its forces have oozed forward, swallowing several villages, as Ukrainian forces have performed tactical retreats. Here we are in April [2024], and [the Russians] are oozing out. Why is that? I think it's because that's the best the Russians can do. They do not have the capability to knock Ukraine out of the war. Russia lacked the ability to equip large armoured formations that could move rapidly, with supporting artillery, engineers and logistics. I don't think it exists. That's why I feel fairly confident that the mission for [Ukrainian] general Oleksandr Syrskyi for the next several months is to stabilise this as much as he can to buy time for Ukraine to grow the size of the army, to rebuild the defence industry of Ukraine, as well as give us time to find more ammunition for them. I think of 2024 as a year of industrial competition. So the army has got to buy time.”

author
Retired U.S. General and former Commander of NATO forces in Europe
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“War is a physical human endeavour and you have a force that is utterly exhausted, not slightly fatigued. It's a heavily attritional war. It's messy, it's bloody, there is nothing glorious about this. The glide bombs that are currently used are hugely devastating. They're cheap to make. They are pretty damn accurate and they can be adapted really quickly. They are fast and [the Russians] have a lot of them. This is a war of mass cost and pace. That's the operational factor on the ground.”

author
Head of military research at the RAND Corporation, a US Air Force think tank
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“Whether it's munitions, whether it's vehicles, whether it's platforms, I'll just tell you that Ukraine right now is facing some dire battlefield conditions. We're already seeing things on the battlefield begin to shift a bit in Russia's favour. We are seeing them make incremental gains. We're seeing the Ukrainians be challenged in terms of holding the line.”

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US Secretary of Defense
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“According to international law, we all recognise another country's territorial integrity, sovereignty, and the inviolability of its borders. This is a sound theory of international law. But the Russians will never give up Crimea, Donbas, or Luhansk. There is no military solution and never will be. There will only be 100,000 more dead on one side or the other. The only thing that can help is for NATO to interfere, and this is World War III.”

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Slovak Prime Minister
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“This is the dominant height in the region, and control over it will allow the Russian invaders, if they achieve it, to significantly simplify the advance in the direction of Kostiantynivka and the direction of Sloviansk and Kramatorsk. These cities are the last stronghold of Donetsk Oblast, which is under the control of Ukraine.”

author
Spokesman for the Khortytsia Operational Strategic Group of Forces
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“The situation on the eastern front has deteriorated significantly in recent days in the face of a heightened Russian offensive. There had been a significant intensification of the enemy's offensive after the presidential elections in Russia.”

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Ukraine’s commander of ground forces
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“Ukraine can't exploit the high levels of attrition that Russian units suffer. Russian forces lost at least three mechanized divisions of manpower and equipment in the campaign for Avdiivka, and Ukraine was unable to counterattack around Avdiivka and exploit the conditions of Russian exhaustion. Ukraine has no choice but to dig in and try to anticipate to the best of its ability where, when, and at what intensity Russian forces will attack next.”

author
Russia Deputy Team Lead and Analyst at the Institute for the Study of War in Washington
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