IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Joe Biden
    Joe Biden “It's a humanitarian crisis in Gaza. I am working on a deal to end the fighting and build a lasting and durable peace. Leadership is about fighting through the most intractable problem. It's about channeling anger, frustration and heartbreak to find a solution. It's about doing what you believe is right, even when it's hard and lonely.” 10 hours ago
  • Sylvain Ekenge
    Sylvain Ekenge “An attempted coup d'etat has been put down by the defence and security forces. The attempt involved foreigners and Congolese. These foreigners and Congolese have been put out of action, including their leader.” 12 hours ago
  • Martin Griffiths
    Martin Griffiths “When very, very experienced humanitarian aid workers, who have been in all kinds of places around the world for decades, when they go to Gaza - to help, to serve, to work - it is traumatising for them. So, God help what it must be for the people of Gaza. It is really difficult and it's getting worse daily. We meet with Israelis daily through COGAT, the committee set up for this purpose. We have many detailed discussions with them about security, about the movement of our trucks and convoys, about the priorities for fuel, but the fact of the matter is, we are not in a position to provide proper aid to the people of Gaza. Right now, it's not ever been quite as difficult as it is today. Much more can be done and ideally, obviously and hopefully this [Israeli military] operation needs to stop.” 13 hours ago
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Russia war in Ukraine - Considerations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia war in Ukraine - Considerations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“War is a physical human endeavour and you have a force that is utterly exhausted, not slightly fatigued. It's a heavily attritional war. It's messy, it's bloody, there is nothing glorious about this. The glide bombs that are currently used are hugely devastating. They're cheap to make. They are pretty damn accurate and they can be adapted really quickly. They are fast and [the Russians] have a lot of them. This is a war of mass cost and pace. That's the operational factor on the ground.”

author
Head of military research at the RAND Corporation, a US Air Force think tank
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“Whether it's munitions, whether it's vehicles, whether it's platforms, I'll just tell you that Ukraine right now is facing some dire battlefield conditions. We're already seeing things on the battlefield begin to shift a bit in Russia's favour. We are seeing them make incremental gains. We're seeing the Ukrainians be challenged in terms of holding the line.”

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US Secretary of Defense
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“According to international law, we all recognise another country's territorial integrity, sovereignty, and the inviolability of its borders. This is a sound theory of international law. But the Russians will never give up Crimea, Donbas, or Luhansk. There is no military solution and never will be. There will only be 100,000 more dead on one side or the other. The only thing that can help is for NATO to interfere, and this is World War III.”

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Slovak Prime Minister
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“This is the dominant height in the region, and control over it will allow the Russian invaders, if they achieve it, to significantly simplify the advance in the direction of Kostiantynivka and the direction of Sloviansk and Kramatorsk. These cities are the last stronghold of Donetsk Oblast, which is under the control of Ukraine.”

author
Spokesman for the Khortytsia Operational Strategic Group of Forces
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“The situation on the eastern front has deteriorated significantly in recent days in the face of a heightened Russian offensive. There had been a significant intensification of the enemy's offensive after the presidential elections in Russia.”

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Ukraine’s commander of ground forces
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“Ukraine can't exploit the high levels of attrition that Russian units suffer. Russian forces lost at least three mechanized divisions of manpower and equipment in the campaign for Avdiivka, and Ukraine was unable to counterattack around Avdiivka and exploit the conditions of Russian exhaustion. Ukraine has no choice but to dig in and try to anticipate to the best of its ability where, when, and at what intensity Russian forces will attack next.”

author
Russia Deputy Team Lead and Analyst at the Institute for the Study of War in Washington
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“Russia is pushing ill-manned, ill-equipped local offensives anywhere it can. But ill-manned with enough bodies might be good enough.”

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Associate professor and national security expert at the University of New Haven in Connecticut
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“They [Russian troops] are ready to pay bribes, which is happening on a massive scale, injure themselves or simply run away to avoid the frontline, as the chances of survival there and the number of losses…remain sky-high for Russians.”

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Ukrainian Defense Intelligence representative
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“It is absolutely essential to get Ukrainians what they continue to need to defend themselves, particularly when it comes to munitions and air defences. It's another reason why the supplementary budget request that President [Joe] Biden has made to [the US] Congress must be fulfilled as quickly as possible.”

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U.S. Secretary of State
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“Since the start of the year, 403 square kilometres [156 square miles] … have come under our control. Russian armed forces continue to push Ukrainian units westwards. Russian forces had captured five settlements, four in Donetsk and one in Zaporizhia, over the last month.”

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Russian Defence Minister
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“He [Putin] makes it more than clear that he is beyond the reach of rational arguments and the values ​​of humanity. And he definitely doesn't want to negotiate. If Putin wins in Ukraine, our security and international order will be at risk. Ukraine's support is our own guarantee of security.”

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Foreign Minister of Germany
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“All war crimes [committed] by the Kyiv regime are thoroughly documented. We were well aware of these crimes. And, of course, we will make sure that those behind these crimes are duly punished.”

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Kremlin spokesman
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“We have no aggressive intentions towards these states. The idea that we will attack some other country - Poland, the Baltic States, and the Czechs are also being scared - is complete nonsense. It's just drivel. If they supply F-16s, and they are talking about this and are apparently training pilots, this will not change the situation on the battlefield. And we will destroy the aircraft just as we destroy today tanks, armoured vehicles and other equipment, including multiple rocket launchers. Of course, if they will be used from airfields in third countries, they become for us legitimate targets, wherever they might be located.”

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President of Russia
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“Bolstering Ukraine's air defence and expediting the delivery of F-16s to Ukraine are vital tasks. There are no rational explanations for why Patriots, which are plentiful around the world, are still not covering the skies of Kharkiv and other cities.”

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President of Ukraine
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“So will Russians blame Putin for failing to avert the tragedy? Collective psychology is notoriously unpredictable. Some may, but it is unlikely that anything would come of it. Even without this attack, it has been clear to the Russian population that the period of stability, security and economic growth that Putin has been lauded for is long over. War is literally at the door with Ukrainian forces conducting incursions into Russian territory, sending drones to strike oil refineries and destroying Russian battleships in the Black Sea.”

author
Freelance journalist based in Riga
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“We are not intimidated by Russia. And we think this is fair, that the revenues of those foreign assets will be used for Ukraine because they are victim of this aggression launched by Russia.”

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President of the European Council
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“We are at war. Indeed, it started as a special military operation but as soon as a clique was formed and the collective West joined in on Ukraine's side, it turned into war for us. I am convinced of that. Everyone should understand this to summon up inner strength.”

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Kremlin spokesman
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“Putin is… planning to mobilise more men, once the election is over. Among other things, he has banned the exit of fighting-age men from the country and banned the antiwar candidate, Boris Nadezhdin, from standing in the election, for fear he may generate opposition to the war effort. Putin appears to have concluded that further mobilisation is essential to press home Russia's advantage on the battlefield and that this is what he will do.”

author
Lecturer at Cambridge University's Centre for Geopolitics
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“There are two scenarios. Either the West will go in the direction of a complete conflict with Russia, or with the help of the USA and China, some kind of truce will be established, which would mean a huge relief for the world. If they enter into [a] conflict, I'm afraid nobody will gain anything from it. A potential conflict could have more casualties than the Second World War, which is unimaginable for the 21st century. We are small and insignificant in that sense, but in any case, it will affect Serbia. We have to be ready for either solution, and we will find out within 100 days.”

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Serbian president
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“Domestically, Putin is poised to prioritise addressing Russia's demographic challenges, a longstanding focus of legislative efforts. On the foreign policy front, Russia is likely to persist in its opposition to what the Kremlin perceives as a unipolar global order dominated by the United States. On the Ukraine war front Putin is committed to continuing the war. From a military standpoint, there is little indication of a shift in the overarching strategy, although some refinements may be made regarding the roles of specific branches of the Russian armed forces, notably the Black Sea Fleet. Russian forces might adopt a gradual territorial expansion approach, particularly focusing on northern regions such as Kharkiv … and southern areas like Odesa.”

author
Postdoctoral researcher in the War Studies Department at King’s College London
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