IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
Check all the Authors in the last 24h
IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Jimmy Rushton
    Jimmy Rushton “Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.” 13 hours ago
  • Konstantin Sonin
    Konstantin Sonin “Things are not going according to Putin's plan, but he will endlessly rotate the same small group of loyalists. Putin has always feared to bring new people to the positions of authority - even in the best of times, they must have been nobodies with no own perspectives. Toward the end of his rule, even more so.” 13 hours ago
  • Mark Galeotti
    Mark Galeotti “With an economist taking over the Defence Ministry, and the old minister taking up a policy and advisory role, the technocrats are in the ascendant. The goal though is not peace, but a more efficient war. As Putin digs in for the long term, with the 'special military operation' now being the central organising principle of his regime, he knows he needs technocrats to keep his war machine going.” 13 hours ago
  • Jeff Hawn
    Jeff Hawn “This indicates that the Kremlin is not seeking an exit from Ukraine, but once to extend their ability to endure the conflict as long as possible. Russia is very limited [on] how much they can increase scale, due to economic deficiencies. However, they can maintain a certain level of attritional warfare. And are likely hoping to do that longer than Ukraine can.” 13 hours ago
  • Dmitry Peskov
    Dmitry Peskov “Today, the winner on the battlefield is the one who is more open to innovation, more open to implementation as quickly as possible. It is natural that at the current stage the president [Vladimir Putin] decided that the Ministry of Defence should be headed by a civilian [Andrei Belousov].” 13 hours ago
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#Yongbyon

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Yongbyon linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“For example, if North Korea freezes its nuclear program and accepts inspections of its nuclear facilities in Yongbyon, South Korea and the U.S. may respond by halting their joint military exercises. If the North accepts a phased shutdown of its nuclear facilities, South Korea can respond by controlling its military expansion and the U.S. can join by promising a non-aggression pact. Both South Korea and the U.S. should seriously consider these options, and the involved countries (the two Koreas, the U.S. and China) should come up with plans to have four-way, high-level talks to discuss the options.”

author
Director of the Center for North Korean Studies at the Sejong Institute
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“So far this year, North Korea has begun carrying out its nuclear program as planned by restarting its nuclear facilities in Yongbyon and by test-firing ballistic missiles. With North Korea escalating its nuclear threat, an end-of-war declaration will only cause North Korea to misbelieve that it may see the withdrawal of the U.S. Forces Korea from the Korean Peninsula.”

author
South Korean politician and defector from North Korea
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“North Korea's steadily advancing missile program should not come as a surprise. Kim Jong-un made defense development a major line of effort in his report addressing the eighth Party Congress in January 2021, and specifically mentioned long-range cruise missiles. The cruise missile tests also follow a report by the United Nations that North Korea restarted the plutonium-producing reactor at the Yongbyon nuclear complex this summer. The Biden administration's approach seeking a middle path between the Trump administration's dangerous maximum pressure campaign of 2017 and the subsequent summit pageantry is unlikely to stop North Korea's programs. The longer the United States waits to get serious at the negotiating table, the more technical thresholds and limitations Kim Jong-un will break through, leaving the United States in an ultimately worse-off position.”

author
Director of defence policy studies at the Cato Institute
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“With the report [North Korea restarting nuclear reactor in Yongbyon] coming to light, South Korea and the U.S. are likely to see their bandwidth limited in their move to restart the Korean Peninsula peace process. Given the fact that the North Korean regime is set to continue to pressure the U.S. in the mid- to long-term, it remains to be seen how the allies will respond.”

author
Professor of North Korean studies at Ewha Womans University
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