“Domestically, Putin is poised to prioritise addressing Russia's demographic challenges, a longstanding focus of legislative efforts. On the foreign policy front, Russia is likely to persist in its opposition to what the Kremlin perceives as a unipolar global order dominated by the United States. On the Ukraine war front Putin is committed to continuing the war. From a military standpoint, there is little indication of a shift in the overarching strategy, although some refinements may be made regarding the roles of specific branches of the Russian armed forces, notably the Black Sea Fleet. Russian forces might adopt a gradual territorial expansion approach, particularly focusing on northern regions such as Kharkiv … and southern areas like Odesa.”
15 Mar 2024
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