IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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  • Jimmy Rushton
    Jimmy Rushton “Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.” 9 hours ago
  • Konstantin Sonin
    Konstantin Sonin “Things are not going according to Putin's plan, but he will endlessly rotate the same small group of loyalists. Putin has always feared to bring new people to the positions of authority - even in the best of times, they must have been nobodies with no own perspectives. Toward the end of his rule, even more so.” 9 hours ago
  • Mark Galeotti
    Mark Galeotti “With an economist taking over the Defence Ministry, and the old minister taking up a policy and advisory role, the technocrats are in the ascendant. The goal though is not peace, but a more efficient war. As Putin digs in for the long term, with the 'special military operation' now being the central organising principle of his regime, he knows he needs technocrats to keep his war machine going.” 9 hours ago
  • Jeff Hawn
    Jeff Hawn “This indicates that the Kremlin is not seeking an exit from Ukraine, but once to extend their ability to endure the conflict as long as possible. Russia is very limited [on] how much they can increase scale, due to economic deficiencies. However, they can maintain a certain level of attritional warfare. And are likely hoping to do that longer than Ukraine can.” 9 hours ago
  • Dmitry Peskov
    Dmitry Peskov “Today, the winner on the battlefield is the one who is more open to innovation, more open to implementation as quickly as possible. It is natural that at the current stage the president [Vladimir Putin] decided that the Ministry of Defence should be headed by a civilian [Andrei Belousov].” 9 hours ago
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#Idriss Deby

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“France and the United States depended on Deby's [Idriss Deby] leadership and his military might to advance their regional security objectives. The domestic and security tumult in Chad may draw some troops away from the missions in Mali and the Liptako-Gourma tri-border region, depriving France of its most effective partner. It will have less impact on the Lake Chad Basin where Chadian troops already have pulled troops from far-flung forward operating bases in Nigeria to reconcentrate its defences on the border.”

author
Director of the Africa programme for the Center for Strategic and International Studies
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“That is technically a coup, but it is signalling to Chadians but also the international community that there is an absolute commitment to regime continuity. That sends a very strong message to France and to Chad's other international partners that they can expect continuity. I think that's the message they're trying to send – whether they can sustain that is another question. For a long time there's been discussion about what would happen if Deby were to die – he was notoriously in bad health, or for a long time people thought he might be in bad health – so the question was who would replace him. For several years he has been grooming his son, Mahamat, to take the 'throne' after he died.”

author
Researcher in the Centre for War and Diplomacy at Lancaster University and author of 'France’s Wars in Chad: Military Intervention and Decolonization in Africa'
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“The president of the republic, head of state, supreme chief of the army Idriss Deby Itno just drew his last breath while defending the nation's integrity o​n the battlefield. The National Council of Transition reassures the Chadian people that all measures have been taken to guarantee peace, security and the republican order.”

author
Chad army spokesman
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“N'Djamena is on edge. With the exact circumstances surrounding Deby' [Idriss Deby] death still unclear, the military has been keen to control the narrative. They haven't mentioned exactly when Deby sustained his injuries; they have also been very careful not to mention when he passed away and how long it took between the time he got injured and the time of his passing. These are details they've been very careful to control, that's because they are worried about the reaction of the people in Chad, and specifically in N'Djamena.”

author
Al Jazeera’s journalist reporting from Chad capital N'Djamena
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