IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Sue Mi Terry
    Sue Mi Terry “Now is not the time to lift sanctions, either. Now, in fact, is the time to double down. If Biden wants to prevent North Korea from acting out, he needs to first provide the government with new incentives to talk-and that means new restrictions Washington can use as carrots. Biden, in other words, needs to take North Korean policy off autopilot and launch a proactive effort to deter Pyongyang. Otherwise, he risks encouraging an already emboldened Kim to stage a major provocation.” 11 hours ago
  • Christopher Cavoli
    Christopher Cavoli “Russians don't have the numbers necessary to do a strategic breakthrough. More to the point, they don't have the skill and capability to do it, to operate at the scale necessary to exploit any breakthrough to strategic advantage. They do have the ability to make local advances and they have done some of that.” 12 hours ago
  • Nazar Voloshin
    Nazar Voloshin “The situation in the Kharkiv sector remains complicated but is evolving in a dynamic manner. Our defence forces have partially stabilised the situation. The advance of the enemy in certain zones and localities has been halted.” 17 hours ago
  • Volodymyr Zelenskiy
    Volodymyr Zelenskiy “The situation in the Kharkiv region is generally under control, and our soldiers are inflicting significant losses on the occupier. However, the area remains extremely difficult.” 17 hours ago
  • Bezalel Smotrich
    Bezalel Smotrich “Defense Minister Gallant announced today his support for the establishment of a Palestinian terrorist state as a reward for terrorism and Hamas for the most terrible massacre of the Jewish people since the Holocaust.” 17 hours ago
  • Yoav Gallant
    Yoav Gallant “I must reiterate … I will not agree to the establishment of Israeli military rule in Gaza. Israel must not establish civilian rule in Gaza.” 17 hours ago
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#Erdogan

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Erdogan linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“We will be ready to consider the possibility of reviving the grain deal and I told Mr President [Erdogan] about this again today - we will do this as soon as all the agreements on lifting restrictions on the export of Russian agricultural products are fully implemented.”

author
President of Russia
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“I think it will not be an exaggeration to say that President Erdogan is probably the only man in the world who can convince President Putin to return to the Black Sea Grain Initiative.”

author
Foreign Minister of Ukraine
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“He [Erdogan] would contest the results if they aren't in his favour and if the margin is narrow, but he can't do much if the opposition gets a landslide victory. He is at the weakest point in his political career.”

author
Columnist
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“Erdogan wants a green light for a military operation in Syria. As we saw at the Tehran summit, Iran and Russia are against this operation but I think Erdogan can persuade Putin. Many things depend on the domestic situation in Turkey because Erdogan wants to launch the operation before the elections so he can consolidate at least a few percentage points in the vote.”

author
Turkish political analyst based in Moscow
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“The grain export agreement, critically important for global food security, will be signed in Istanbul tomorrow under the auspices of President Erdoğan and UN Secretary General Mr. Guterres together with Ukrainian and Russian delegations.”

author
Turkish Presidential Spokesman
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“It is important to interpret Putin and Erdogan's trip to Iran within the context of increased East-West bifurcation following the Ukraine war. As the war rages and Russia's economy has taken a hit from Western sanctions, Moscow seeks stronger ties with non-Western countries that do not support the measures. There is a strong message being sent to Washington about Moscow, Tehran, and Ankara's desires to work together without US policies, positions, and agendas being imposed on them.”

author
CEO and founder of the geopolitical risk consulting firm Gulf State Analytics
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“The next step is likely to be a flurry of behind-the-scenes diplomacy, and international pressure, to convince Turkey to quickly remove the roadblock. Sweden and Finland will seek to placate Turkey, but we can also expect the US and the EU to play a leading role in this pressure campaign. After all, both have some leverage over Turkey, be it through [Washington's] sale of military equipment or the [EU's] provision of aid as part of the 2016 migration deal. The most likely outcome remains Finland and Sweden joining the alliance very soon. Erdogan is a transactional leader, and the costs of blocking the two Nordic countries - deeply angering Western allies - would far outweigh the benefits in terms of domestic support. Erdogan also briefly blocked in 2009 the nomination of Anders Fogh Rasmussen as NATO's secretary-general, before relenting after receiving a prize in a high-level appointment for a Turkish official in the alliance. Since the rest of the alliance is welcoming Finland and Sweden with open arms, there is clear political will to overcome this temporary roadblock.”

author
Lecturer and co-director of the Transatlantic Policy Center at American University
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“Turkey has every right to block Sweden and Finland's ascension to NATO. However, such a position would be costly as NATO members would likely approach Turkey as a problem child moving forward. It is hard to see Turkey's future position since it is mostly based on domestic political developments. We should remember that Erdogan has been doing these policy changes to win the next election.”

author
Associate professor in politics and international relations at London Metropolitan University
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“Turkey and Ukraine were enjoying good and friendly relations before the war. Turkey has strongly supported Ukrainian independence in the 1990s. After its independence, they worked closely to establish a stable environment in the Black Sea [through] economic and military cooperation. Turkey has been playing an active role with its drones, and eight trucks of humanitarian aid have been delivered to local authorities in Ukraine and neighbouring Moldova. Furthermore, in an hourlong call with Moscow [last] Sunday, Erdogan appealed for an urgent general ceasefire. On the fifth day of Moscow's invasion of Ukraine, Erdogan, one more time, repeated that Turkey could not abandon its ties with Russia or Ukraine. Turkey is still trying to perpetuate the balance-based policy, which does not mean that Turkey has been establishing its policies without a dilemma. Instead, Turkey has been in a stuck position between Russia and the West regarding security, economy, and energy.”

author
Associate professor in politics and international relations at London Metropolitan University
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“He [Erdogan] would ask Putin to give a chance to a ceasefire, stop his attacks, and help set up corridors needed for evacuations of civilians and shipments of aid. We are focusing on what steps we can take here to bring the sides to the negotiating table and to convince the Russian side (to stop). It is important that Moscow had a reliable counterpart to talk to as the West had burned bridges with it. This network of trust (with Russia) must absolutely be kept open for these talks, diplomacy to succeed. Otherwise it will be impossible for the whole region, including Russia and Ukraine, to escape from this destruction.”

author
Turkish Presidential Spokesman
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“Politics is for serving the citizens and solving the problems of citizens. Unfortunately, the palace [of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan] forgot both the citizens and their problems. Citizens are imprisoned by poverty. The government continuously increases prices of almost everything, including electricity, gas, petroleum, taxes and fees. The high cost of living is making citizens poorer.”

author
Republican People's Party's provincial president in Istanbul
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“We live with inflation in Turkey. The biggest components of what we spend money on are food, rent, and transportation, and these are the kind of prices the average consumer faces on a daily or monthly basis. So if you are lying to them, it's very obvious. It undermines trust in Erdogan and the AKP. Turkish public's perceptions of inflation can also drive prices higher. If people think inflation is close to 100 percent, anyone who has any bargaining ability, say in paying salaries or wages, or the prices they charge, pretends inflation is 100 percent. So going forward, that is a disastrous situation.”

author
Investment analyst with Global Source Partners
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“Erdogan is already following election politics by raising citizens' purchasing power. To stop the bleeding, he practically indexed the value of bank accounts in domestic currency to the dollar. These are all aimed at creating positive momentum before he calls early elections.”

author
Turkey expert at Brookings and professor at National Defense University
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“The decisions have ... given the impression that the AK Party and Erdogan are excellent managers of the economy. For Erdogan, a 'last minute' success story emerges before every election. We see that this process will be presented as a political leader who beat the dollar and disrupted the game of foreign powers.”

author
Chairman of MAK Consulting
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“The current economic outlook was like a truck with no brakes. Erdogan's newly announced measures diverged significantly from the usual market practices. Turkey is going into a complicated process, they are no longer playing the game by the rules.”

author
Senior analyst at Swissquote
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“Orthodox theory recommends a tight monetary policy that will mitigate inflation by moderating domestic demand. In Turkey, by contrast, under the guidance of the presidency, the CBTR [Central Bank of Turkey] is pursuing a loose monetary and credit policy to boost economic growth, which Erdoğan needs desperately. He is concerned that higher interest rates will slow down the economy and fuel voter discontent in the run-up to the elections in 2023. He has therefore pushed the CBTR to cut rates in the hope that cheaper credit will stimulate the economy and improve his popular support.”

author
Resident senior fellow in German Marshall Fund's Brussels office
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“The assumptions in this new 'model,' if we can call it that, are wrong. They are assuming lowering interest rates would lead to high exchange rates, and the Turkish lira would devalue, depreciate, and then Turkish goods and services will become cheaper in terms of our trade partners' currency. Erdogan is assuming that the subsequent boost to Turkish exports would eventually lead to the lira recovering its value. But that's a strange relationship. It does not work that way.”

author
Professor of econometrics at Kırıkkale University
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“I don't think he [Recep Tayyip Erdogan] has the confidence of the nation anymore. There's an urgent problem of deepening poverty and the wheels of the economy are coming to a standstill.”

author
Investment analyst with Global Source Partners
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