IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Jimmy Rushton
    Jimmy Rushton “Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.” 22 hours ago
  • Konstantin Sonin
    Konstantin Sonin “Things are not going according to Putin's plan, but he will endlessly rotate the same small group of loyalists. Putin has always feared to bring new people to the positions of authority - even in the best of times, they must have been nobodies with no own perspectives. Toward the end of his rule, even more so.” 22 hours ago
  • Mark Galeotti
    Mark Galeotti “With an economist taking over the Defence Ministry, and the old minister taking up a policy and advisory role, the technocrats are in the ascendant. The goal though is not peace, but a more efficient war. As Putin digs in for the long term, with the 'special military operation' now being the central organising principle of his regime, he knows he needs technocrats to keep his war machine going.” 22 hours ago
  • Jeff Hawn
    Jeff Hawn “This indicates that the Kremlin is not seeking an exit from Ukraine, but once to extend their ability to endure the conflict as long as possible. Russia is very limited [on] how much they can increase scale, due to economic deficiencies. However, they can maintain a certain level of attritional warfare. And are likely hoping to do that longer than Ukraine can.” 22 hours ago
  • Dmitry Peskov
    Dmitry Peskov “Today, the winner on the battlefield is the one who is more open to innovation, more open to implementation as quickly as possible. It is natural that at the current stage the president [Vladimir Putin] decided that the Ministry of Defence should be headed by a civilian [Andrei Belousov].” 22 hours ago
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#Abiy

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Abiy linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] has continuously lied on humanitarian aid and the presence of Eritrean soldiers, among other things. It wouldn't be rational to take his word. A truce as with any other peace deal should be formalized and transparent, with mediators providing some guarantees. With such a framework absent, one shouldn't be hopeful.”

author
Researcher and political analyst on the Horn of Africa
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“Diplomats have to find a political way. Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] cannot win this war. The Ethiopian army is relatively weakened. They are losing cities and his going to the battlefront doesn't change anything - negotiations are the only way out of this.”

author
Expert in Ethiopian politics at the University of Toronto
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“Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] had used a lot of war imagery when accepting his Nobel prize but that had been to highlight the horror of war. And here we are, almost full circle with a Nobel Peace Prize winner using the most bellicose language to try and ramp up the stakes ahead of the defence of not only Ethiopia, but life and death. He says he's basically willing to die for the cause.”

author
Former US diplomat
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“Abiy's [Abiy Ahmed] mimicry of Ethiopia's war-time Emperors has taken on an all too palpable schizophrenic overtone. He has vowed to join 'his forces' in the battlefield in the honorable tradition of his 'glorious predecessors'. I would've dismissed this is yet another sick joke any day.”

author
Spokesperson for the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF)
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“There is a new marriage of convenience between at least a faction of the Oromo Liberation Front (OLF) and the TPLF [Tigray People's Liberation Front] because Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] has managed to alienate the Oromo, including some Amhara. And the TPLF is trying to take advantage of this situation, as well as the OLA [outlawed splinter group of the OLF].”

author
US-based academic specialising in the Horn of Africa
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