• Kaja Kallas
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  • Jimmy Rushton
    Jimmy Rushton “Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.” 19 hours ago
  • Konstantin Sonin
    Konstantin Sonin “Things are not going according to Putin's plan, but he will endlessly rotate the same small group of loyalists. Putin has always feared to bring new people to the positions of authority - even in the best of times, they must have been nobodies with no own perspectives. Toward the end of his rule, even more so.” 19 hours ago
  • Mark Galeotti
    Mark Galeotti “With an economist taking over the Defence Ministry, and the old minister taking up a policy and advisory role, the technocrats are in the ascendant. The goal though is not peace, but a more efficient war. As Putin digs in for the long term, with the 'special military operation' now being the central organising principle of his regime, he knows he needs technocrats to keep his war machine going.” 19 hours ago
  • Jeff Hawn
    Jeff Hawn “This indicates that the Kremlin is not seeking an exit from Ukraine, but once to extend their ability to endure the conflict as long as possible. Russia is very limited [on] how much they can increase scale, due to economic deficiencies. However, they can maintain a certain level of attritional warfare. And are likely hoping to do that longer than Ukraine can.” 19 hours ago
  • Dmitry Peskov
    Dmitry Peskov “Today, the winner on the battlefield is the one who is more open to innovation, more open to implementation as quickly as possible. It is natural that at the current stage the president [Vladimir Putin] decided that the Ministry of Defence should be headed by a civilian [Andrei Belousov].” 19 hours ago
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#Abiy Ahmed

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive with the tag #Abiy Ahmed linked to them.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Goitom Gebreluel
Goitom Gebreluel

“Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] has continuously lied on humanitarian aid and the presence of Eritrean soldiers, among other things. It wouldn't be rational to take his word. A truce as with any other peace deal should be formalized and transparent, with mediators providing some guarantees. With such a framework absent, one shouldn't be hopeful.”

author
Researcher and political analyst on the Horn of Africa
28 Mar 2022 4 2
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Alex Rondos
Alex Rondos

“The West needs to make up for its mistakes in Ethiopia. It misjudged Abiy [Abiy Ahmed]. It empowered Isaias [Isaias Afwerki]. Now the issue is whether a country of 110 million people can be prevented from unraveling.”

author
Former European Union Special Representative for the Horn of Africa
15 Dec 2021 2 4
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Gebremeskel Kassa
Gebremeskel Kassa

“From that day, Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] felt he was one of the most influential personalities in the world. He felt he had a lot of international support, and that if he went to war in Tigray, nothing would happen. And he was right.”

author
Former senior Abiy administration official now in exile in Europe
15 Dec 2021 (approx) 2 4
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Tesfaye Sherefa
Tesfaye Sherefa

“I was amazed when I heard. When a leader leaves his chair… and his throne it is to rescue his country. His focus is not to live, but to rescue this country, and I sobbed when he said 'follow me' and went to the front line.”

author
Ethiopian 42-year-old driver and new recruit
24 Nov 2021 1 3
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Mustafa Ali
Mustafa Ali

“Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] is risking his life and he's also risking the lives of those who are going to be alongside himself. The calculation here from Abiy's administration is because … that many armed grounds are converging around Addis Ababa, he sees it fit as part of a psychological operation to inspire other Ethiopians to join the [national army] and fight this war and push back the Tigrayans. Ethiopia is a huge country; if it descends into anarchy then we are going have a huge problem of stability in the entire Horn of Africa.”

author
Co-founder and chairman of Horn International Institute for Strategic Studies
24 Nov 2021 7 3
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Haji Gnamo
Haji Gnamo

“Diplomats have to find a political way. Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] cannot win this war. The Ethiopian army is relatively weakened. They are losing cities and his going to the battlefront doesn't change anything - negotiations are the only way out of this.”

author
Expert in Ethiopian politics at the University of Toronto
23 Nov 2021 3 6
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Kjetil Tronvoll
Kjetil Tronvoll

“It is a gamble in the sense will people follow him? [Abiy Ahmed] Because I think that's the intention, that he was trying to rally the Ethiopian base, the nationalist base to join him at the battlefront to fight back the advancing Tigrayan forces. The question is, will people in thousands or hundreds of thousands join him there? We don't know yet.”

author
Professor at Oslo University
23 Nov 2021 4 3
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William Lawrence
William Lawrence

“Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] had used a lot of war imagery when accepting his Nobel prize but that had been to highlight the horror of war. And here we are, almost full circle with a Nobel Peace Prize winner using the most bellicose language to try and ramp up the stakes ahead of the defence of not only Ethiopia, but life and death. He says he's basically willing to die for the cause.”

author
Former US diplomat
23 Nov 2021 6 3
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Getachew Reda
Getachew Reda

“Abiy's [Abiy Ahmed] mimicry of Ethiopia's war-time Emperors has taken on an all too palpable schizophrenic overtone. He has vowed to join 'his forces' in the battlefield in the honorable tradition of his 'glorious predecessors'. I would've dismissed this is yet another sick joke any day.”

author
Spokesperson for the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF)
23 Nov 2021 4 3
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Yohannes Woldemariam
Yohannes Woldemariam

“There is a new marriage of convenience between at least a faction of the Oromo Liberation Front and the TPLF [Tigray People's Liberation Front] because Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] has managed to alienate the Oromo, including some Amhara. And the TPLF is trying to take advantage of this situation, as well as the OLA [Oromo Liberation Army].”

author
Analyst specialising in the Horn of Africa
02 Nov 2021 8 2
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Jeffrey Feltman
Jeffrey Feltman

“We can proceed down one path that inevitably leads to sanctions and other measures or we can go down another path where we can revitalise the partnership that started when prime minister [Abiy Ahmed] took office. The US wants the latter. Prolonging the war, dodging genuine negotiations to lead to de-escalation and a ceasefire, and refusing unhindered humanitarian access to avert catastrophe are actions that are taking Ethiopia [in] a dangerous direction.”

author
U.S. special envoy for Horn of Africa
02 Nov 2021 3 3
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Getachew Reda
Getachew Reda

“If the government falls, we will definitely have an interim arrangement. There would also need to be a national dialogue but Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] and his ministers would not be asked to take part. They will have their day in court.”

author
Spokesperson for the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF)
02 Nov 2021 1 3
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Yohannes Woldemariam
Yohannes Woldemariam

“There is a new marriage of convenience between at least a faction of the Oromo Liberation Front (OLF) and the TPLF [Tigray People's Liberation Front] because Abiy [Abiy Ahmed] has managed to alienate the Oromo, including some Amhara. And the TPLF is trying to take advantage of this situation, as well as the OLA [outlawed splinter group of the OLF].”

author
US-based academic specialising in the Horn of Africa
02 Nov 2021 9 2
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Getachew Reda
Getachew Reda

“Abiy Ahmed's Air Force did once again strike non-military targets around MU campus. While this is not outrageous enough, a UN Aircraft had to abort its landing because of the air strike. Our air defense units knew the UN plane was scheduled to land and it was due in large measure to their restraint it was not caught in a crossfire. What begs the question however is the government cleared the UN plane to fly to #Mekelle only to send its fighter jet in time to raid civilian targets. While the use of the UN flight as a distraction couldn't be ruled out, it is not entirely implausible to suspect that the Smart Alecs in Addis were indeed setting up the UN plane to be hit by our guns. The fact that the plane that came today was denied permit yesterday couldn't be a mere coincidence. Abiy's moves beg for action!”

author
Spokesperson for the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF)
22 Oct 2021 6 4
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Abiy Ahmed
Abiy Ahmed

“I, Abiy Ahmed Ali, today in the House of People's Representatives, accept the appointment as prime minister, as I pledge to undertake responsibly and with faith to the constitution the responsibility placed upon me by the people.”

author
Prime Minister of Ethiopia
04 Oct 2021 4 2
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Getachew Reda
Getachew Reda

“Abiy Ahmed's solution to the worsening humanitarian crisis in Tigray is to declare UN humanitarian Personnel in Addis [Ababa] Persona no Grata. Those of you who might've thought the guy in Arat Killo would be counseled into sanity must be disappointed. Sad but real.”

author
Spokesperson for the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF)
30 Sep 2021 6 4
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James Bays
James Bays

“The UN chief has pursued a very quiet, patient diplomacy … not saying too much, at least initially in public, not condemning it too much, because he thought he could nudge [Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed] in the right direction. [But] that strategy has clearly not worked.”

author
Al Jazeera’s diplomatic editor reporting from the UN headquarters in New York
30 Sep 2021 3 3
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Ahmed Soliman
Ahmed Soliman

“The conflict could evolve and there is frightening possibility it could become entrenched. Both sides are heavily armed and this could lead to a prolonged insurgent warfare. The impact of the conflict could also continue to spill over into neighbouring countries. Abiy’s ultimatum [on Nov 22nd he gave TPLF forces 72-hour to surrender or face a final military offensive on Mekelle] fits in with the prime minister and federal government’s narrative that they are implementing a law enforcement operation to remove criminal elements from Tigray. The ultimatum is also meant to weaken support for the TPLF amongst the civilians in Tigray and encourage them to leave or support the federal government.”

author
Research fellow at London-based think-tank, Chatham House
24 Nov 2020 4 1
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Daniel Mulugeta
Daniel Mulugeta

“There were a lot of problems before Abiy became prime minister, the major one being the government’s inability to deliver development promises. Abiy capitalised on that political playing field. He promised to heal the divisions in the country and to fight corruption and he emerged as a beacon of hope for all Ethiopians at the time. When it comes to the critical mass, he’s losing support. Abiy doesn’t seem to have a very clear policy agenda. He prefers quick, instant development projects that please his followers. He’s pragmatic. What you see in him is what you see in populist leaders like Boris Johnson and Donald Trump. The Tigray conflict is going to complicate the future of the country. The war is likely to augment Abiy’s power and create more polarisation in the country. My concern is that this could create a humanitarian catastrophe.”

author
Expert on Ethiopia at London’s School of Oriental and African Studies
15 Nov 2020 3 4
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