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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Chandrachur Singh
    Chandrachur Singh “The opposition - a consortium of nearly two dozen parties - has not been able to rally people around economic distress despite raising it as a prominent election issue. The problem with the opposition is that it is a coming together of parties with divergent views whose only agenda seems to be to dislodge Modi. To the people, that doesn't seem to be a good enough agenda. The fact that the opposition has not projected a face against Modi is also an issue. Rahul Gandhi is slowly emerging as that leader, but in terms of perception, he is still far behind Modi.” 19 hours ago
  • Neelanjan Sircar
    Neelanjan Sircar “A large part of what the BJP [Bharatiya Janata Party] does is thinking about how to centralise all political attribution on Modi. Its campaign promises are pitched as Modi's guarantees. This is the strategy of a party where the leader is a cult figure and the party is the vehicle for the leader. Whether it's economic distress or even issues like violence in Manipur, Modi is not directly sullied. People may blame other leaders of the BJP. In regional elections, as a consequence, BJP might be voted out. But it is not anger against Modi.” 19 hours ago
  • Benjamin Netanyahu
    Benjamin Netanyahu “The idea that we will stop the war before achieving all its objectives is out of the question. We will enter Rafah and we will eliminate the Hamas battalions there - with or without a deal, in order to achieve the total victory.” 20 hours ago
  • Nour Odeh
    Nour Odeh “For a while, there was a lot of cautious optimism up until this morning, and then the prime minister announced he will order an invasion of Rafah with or without a deal - in essence trampling all of these ceasefire talks. This is what the families of the captives had feared. This is what the negotiators feared. Netanyahu's comments came after he held meetings with the most right-wing members of his coalition government, including Itamar Ben-Gvir. It's interesting, every time Blinken comes to the region - catching the tailwind of some optimism - something like this happens, and he ends up going home with nothing to show for all this political momentum.” 20 hours ago
  • Randall Kuhn
    Randall Kuhn “Put simply, the situation in Gaza is it's completely intolerable at this point. We're on the border of famine and for us as a university, we have to reckon with the fact that every university in Gaza has been destroyed. As a professor, I find it repugnant to sit by while Palestinian professors are being killed, while academic buildings are being bombed relentlessly.” 20 hours ago
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Iraq

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to Iraq.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“The groups in Baghdad's government are worried about Iraq becoming a playground in the wider regional conflict and have domestic reasons not to want to risk the status quo.”

author
Researcher at the UK-based Chatham House
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“We think that we need the foreign forces. Elimination of ISIS needs some more time. Inside Iraq we do not need combat forces. If there is a threat for Iraq, it is the penetration of the [ISIL] cells through Syria. I don't see this as an impossible matter, to see Iraq have a good relationship with Iran and the US.”

author
Iraqi Prime Minister
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“This [the violence] was certainly the possible beginning or spark of a Shia-Shia civil war. The violence may have subsided for now, but retributions are to be expected. This violence is indicative of the bitter divisions and deadlock in Iraqi politics. It may be ratcheted down for now, but without a proper solution it will appear again in the future.”

author
Iraqi politics researcher at the Century Foundation
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“These protesters have been sleeping, praying, chanting against the Coordination Framework and chanting against [former prime minister] Nouri al-Maliki, whom they accuse of corruption and mismanagement. They say al-Sudani is a replica of al-Maliki. Despite calls for calm from local and international institutions, these protesters seem to be determined to continue their sit-in until their demands are met.”

author
Journalist of Al Jazeera
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“The major political blocs have the ability to find a solution to the deadlock, but there is no serious will to do so. The option of dissolving the parliament is not serious, as many parliamentarians might not be able to win the seats they did in the last election. As always, Iraqis are the big losers of the political process and the governments that have come since the US invasion of Iraq in 2003. We [Iraqis] are still paying the bill of the current parliamentary failure, and we are entering into an unknown future. It is not logical to solve one problem [deadlock] by creating another problem [dissolving the parliament]. Even if the parliament were dissolved, and a new one elected, what is the guarantee that the next parliament will not have the same problem?”

author
Iraqi political analyst
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“Iran had carried out attacks against American targets and did not shy away from publicizing this. I see this more as a warning sign to Israel and a show of force in the negotiations.”

author
Visiting fellow at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP)
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“Thousands of protesters, members of Iraq's Popular Mobilisation Forces were chanting against the US and the presence of US troops in Iraq. They are blaming the [Iraqi] government for what they consider is collaborating with US forces and that there hasn't been any clarity or any transparency in the investigation over the past two years since the killing of General Qassem Soleimani and Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis.”

author
Journalist of Al Jazeera reporting from Baghdad
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“The Iranians are finding it increasingly difficult to control allies who have their own interests and who won't be told no for an answer.”

author
Iraq watcher and professor of international relations at the London School of Economics
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“I am deeply saddened by the news of the martyrdom of a group of Peshmerga heroes last night while they were providing assistance to their colleagues in the Kolajo region. The proliferation of ISIL's atrocities is a new and terrifying message, and brings a serious threat to the region. There is, therefore, an urgent need for greater cooperation and coordination between the Peshmerga and the Iraqi army with the support of the international allied forces.”

author
President of the Kurdistan Regional Government
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“I have a child who is eight, she can't write properly. Why? Because school is not good. And I can see that the life of my children doesn't look good. I see the images every day, of people in the forest, but I am not afraid. The hardship in Belarus is temporary. A week, two weeks. But here, it is every day. Every day to see your good friend leave. You know each other for 20 years and then they leave for Belarus and you don't know what will happen to them. That is hard. But I still say go, and I am going because it is better than here.”

author
Barber in Said Sadiq northern Iraq
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“This apparent act of terrorism, which we strongly condemn, was directed at the heart of the Iraqi state. We are in close touch with the Iraqi security forces charged with upholding Iraq's sovereignty and independence and have offered our assistance as they investigate this attack.”

author
Spokesperson for the United States Department of State
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“Sunday's attack is not just an attack on al-Kadhimi, it is also an attack against the political class. It really amounts to a coup attempt. While there has been no claim of responsibility, there's a lot of circumstantial evidence pointing to the Iran-backed Iraqi militias. Recently, some members of the militias have been indicted for killing some of the protesters two years ago. And al-Kadhimi's late adviser, Hisham al-Hashemi, was assassinated by suspected members of these militias. So they and al-Kadhimi have been engaged in this tug of war and they stand to benefit most from forcing al-Kadhimi out of the picture. But in my opinion, it's a very stupid and shortsighted move, because if anything it's going to make al-Kadhimi a victim and will elevate his political chances of going back to the prime minister's office.”

author
Director of the Conflict Resolution and Track Two Dialogues Program at the Middle East Institute
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“The blood of martyrs will hold you accountable. The protesters only had one demand against fraud in elections. Responding like this (with live fire) means you are the first responsible for this fraud.”

author
Leader of the Asaib Ahl al-Haq militia
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“Diminishing water resources, poor water quality, and a lack of integrated approaches could create a recipe for destabilisation. Many water conflicts … are going to happen in the future due to these kinds of situations. Climate change is exacerbating all this and posing further threats.”

author
Climate adviser to People in Need international NGO providing humanitarian aid and development assistance in Iraq
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“Climate change is one of the factors that has led to desertification and drought in Iraq. Reduced water levels in the Tigris and Euphrates rivers are exacerbating this. The discharge of water through those rivers that originated in Iran and Turkey is now decreased by 50 percent.”

author
Lecturer in geology at Salahaddin University
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“Sadr [Muqtada al-Sadr] claims that the next government will be a Sadrist one and the prime minister a staunch Sadrist and it may become a reality, but other partners will be needed to form a government and the risk of taking sole responsibility for government failures may mean that he accepts a coalition that reduces the Sadrist identity of the government.”

author
Fellow at Century International and director of the Shia Politics Working Group
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“Sadr's [Muqtada al-Sadr] strategy to maintain followership is his claim to be a reformer. Using this claim, he has supported the Tishreen/October Movement for months until Iran called on him to withdraw this support. His flip-flopping on this particular matter may have cost him some followers, but for the most part, his followership is blindly loyal and truly believes in his image as a reformer. On this basis, I can see Sadr avoiding the premiership to maintain his claim to reform. His party also is strategic in its alliances. In the 2018 election, it allied with the Communist Party of Iraq to maintain this reform title. This is all ironic, considering that he has had Sadrists in previous cabinets holding ministries such as the very deteriorating Ministry of Health while claiming to bring about reform.”

author
Postdoctoral researcher at Lancaster University & Project SEPAD
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“From now on, arms must be restricted in the hands of the state. The use of weapons shall be prevented outside of the state's framework. Even for those claiming to be the resistance to the U.S. presence. It is time for the people to live in peace, without occupation, terrorism, militias, kidnapping and fear.”

author
Iraqi Shia Scholar, politician and militia leader
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“I think he [Muqtada al-Sadr] has his own space in which he walks, and his base is not dictated by any country, especially not the Iranians. I think that he is much less sectarian than many, many others because he has a nationalist vision of Iraq.”

author
Director at the United States Institute of Peace, a U.S. government-funded think tank
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“Nothing will happen … the same leaders, same list, same schedule, and the same plan and goal, nothing will happen on the ground. All the dreams, all the hopes, all the demands of the Iraqi people are gone with the wind … many people expected that something will change with these elections but maybe [we will see] just some few changes.”

author
Professor of International Relations at Mustansiriyah University in Baghdad
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“Muqtada [al-Sadr] has been working a great deal to win a lead in the election. They [the Sadrists] have a good election machine, and they use all kinds of means to achieve their goals. Also, Muqtada isn't so far away from Iran himself. Eventually, all groups will sit together and form a government under the umbrella of the Iranian regime. Muqtada has been the main political player in Iraq since 2005. No Iraqi prime minister has taken that position without the tacit consent of al-Sadr.”

author
Iraq analyst
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“We will have to honour the results, but we are back to the purple finger fatigue. People have been going to the polls for 18 years, but they can't see any change and people are getting fed up.”

author
Independent Iraqi politician and former economic adviser to the government
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“The election was called early to meet one of the demands of nationwide protests. However, the election campaign was then totally undermined by a carefully deployed campaign of targeted assassinations against the very same protest movement that called for elections. In these circumstances, the new government will have little legitimacy and will certainly have no answers to the chronic problems, both political and economic, that Iraq faces. If the international community attempts to see this election as a success they are ignoring the violence that has dogged the campaign and the refusal of an alienated youth to participate.”

author
Iraq watcher and professor of international relations at the London School of Economics
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“The expectations of low turnout are widely based on disillusionment among people, especially the youth. Most of the disillusioned are those who rose up against corruption and mismanagement in 2019 in what is known as the Tishreen [October] revolution.”

author
Journalist of Al Jazeera reporting from Baghdad
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“Iran-aligned groups' reputation has been tainted because many Iraqis hold them responsible for violence against peaceful protesters, do not approve of their dragging Iraq into confrontation with the United States, and see them as part of a corrupt system.”

author
Director of Middle East Programs at the US Institute of Peace
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“Sadrist can't form its own government without a coalition, and years of experiences have taught them that working with Iran is an unavoidable part.”

author
Iraqi politics researcher at the Century Foundation
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“ISIL still has access to tens of millions of dollars and will likely continue to rebuild its network throughout Iraq and Syria. [Its] primary goal at the moment is to have its affiliates maintain momentum until it can sufficiently rebuild its core in the Levant. [ISIL] affiliates in sub-Saharan Africa and now Afghanistan will have the opportunity to make strides in the coming year.”

author
Senior research fellow at the US-based Soufan Centre
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“This summit marks the return of Iraq as a pivotal player in the region. Having rival parties be seated at the same table is a significant step in that direction.”

author
Director of the Iraqi Political Thinking Center in Baghdad
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“The fact that we managed to bring rival countries together on the same table and initiate dialogue between them is not only important to them and us but to the whole region.”

author
Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iraq
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“Iraq's slow path towards elections exacerbates increasingly precarious political, social and economic conditions that have fuelled protests across recent years. Fundamental to this are competing visions of the nature of Iraqi politics and the role of religion – and Iran – in the political sphere. While some groups are pushing for the de-sectarianisation of Iraqi politics – the reimagining or removal of religion and religious actors from political life – others are vehemently opposed to such processes.”

author
Professor of international politics at Lancaster University
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“The PMF [Popular Mobilisation Forces] say that they will attack American military facilities with missiles. Politicians affiliated with the PMF have also been tweeting, saying the United States only understands the language of force. We also know these groups are blaming the United States for not withdrawing from Iraq and for not implementing the decision by the Iraqi House of Representatives [resolution approved in January 2020 which called for all foreign troops to leave the country].”

author
Journalist of Al Jazeera reporting from Baghdad
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“Only if we learn to look beyond our differences and see each other as members of the same human family will we be able to begin an effective process of rebuilding and leave to future generations a better, more just and more humane world.”

author
Pope Francis - Head of the Catholic Church and sovereign of the Vatican City
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“Although the US airstrikes did not target Iraq, they put less strain on US-Iraq relations. It was a significant departure from the Trump administration which regularly targeted armed groups in Iraq.”

author
Al Jazeera’s journalist reporting from Baghdad
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