Zero Covid policy in China

Carlos Casanova

Inserted 1 year ago

“The data exceeded expectations over the board, which means fewer risks to Q1-23 growth. We have revised our growth forecast for 2023 to 6.0 percent. The latest official statistics contained warning signs for long-term growth, including the first official decline in the population since 1961. Namely, China experienced a permanent loss in potential output as a result of low fertility rates during three long years of zero-COVID, resulting in a marked population decline.”

Aljazeera

Senior economist for Asia at UBP in Hong Kong

17 Jan 2023 2 7

Shehzad Qazi

Inserted 1 year ago

“This can't be fixed in the short-run, you can't build iPhone cities that easily in other parts of Asia. The supply chains of companies like Apple are incredibly vulnerable because they're concentrated almost exclusively within China.”

Aljazeera

Managing director of consultancy China Beige Book

16 Dec 2022 4 4

Chen Gang

Inserted 1 year ago

“By now it should be clear to the Chinese leadership that it is unrealistic to hope to eliminate COVID-19 entirely through lockdowns and repeated testing, given the Omicron variant's high transmissibility and the large number of asymptomatic cases. The recent protests themselves have not dented Xi's political authority, but unless it adapts, the government may encounter a growing political backlash against its COVID-19 policy.”

Aljazeera

Assistant Director and Senior Research Fellow of the East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore.

04 Dec 2022 3 3

Siddharth Sridhar

Inserted 1 year ago

“We often pretend that China has a choice in terms of 'zero Covid' versus opening up. There never was a choice. The simple fact is that China is not ready for a wave on that scale.”

Nytimes

Virologist at the University of Hong Kong

02 Dec 2022 1 3

Hana Young

Inserted 1 year ago

“People have been incredibly patient with lockdown measures but authorities must not abuse emergency policies. These unprecedented protests show that people are at the end of their tolerance for excessive Covid-19 restrictions. The Chinese government must immediately review its Covid-19 policies to ensure that they are proportionate and time-bound. All quarantine measures that pose threats to personal safety and unnecessarily restrict freedom of movement must be suspended.”

Aljazeera

Amnesty International's Deputy Regional Director

28 Nov 2022 2 2

Ian Johnson

Inserted 1 year ago

“Ploughing on with zero-Covid could indicate an information deficit. Where nobody really dares to tell Xi Jinping things because he's so powerful.”

Aljazeera

Senior fellow for China studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

17 Oct 2022 3 3

Cai Xia

Inserted 1 year ago

“A leader more open to influence or subject to greater checks would not likely have implemented such a draconian policy [spring 2022 lockdown in Shanghai], or at least would have corrected course once its costs and unpopularity became evident. But for Xi, backtracking would have been an unthinkable admission of error.”

Nytimes

Retired professor at the Communist Party’s top academy

07 Sep 2022 4 3

Wu Qiang_

Inserted 1 year ago

“Often, the heads of different departments and companies attend one meeting in the morning about enhancing dynamic zero, and then in the afternoon a meeting about economic growth. The tensions are within Xi's own model for governing the country. The tensions really arise from him.”

Nytimes

Independent political commentator in Beijing

11 Jul 2022 3 4

Dan Wang

Inserted 2 years ago

“I'm very worried where this is going because the current lockdown in Shanghai has been looking like it is going to end after this May holiday which means most people can probably walk around their neighbourhoods but for most factories around the East coast they are not in a very good condition. Taking notice of what is happening in Shanghai, many other cities are taking precautionary measures - even with one COVID case a whole city can be locked down. We might be looking at a situation where 30 cities might be locked down simultaneously. That is hugely disruptive to the supply chain.”

Aljazeera

Chief economist at Hang Seng Bank

30 Apr 2022 4 3

Sumit Agarwal

Inserted 2 years ago

“Only Hong Kong and China are saying they are trying to eradicate the virus. It would have worked if other countries did the same but the fact they don't think that way means the virus is always flowing.”

Reuters

Professor at the National University of Singapore’s Business School

28 Jan 2022 4 5

Lynette Ong

Inserted 2 years ago

“The regime thinks it needs to maintain a 'zero Covid' policy to maintain its legitimacy. At a huge cost, though... Outbreaks have become so commonplace that it's really a non-event. But the Chinese authorities want to control any small potential source of instability.”

Nytimes

China expert at the University of Toronto

28 Oct 2021 5 5

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Ipse Dixit

Ipse Dixit

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“This can't be fixed in the short-run, you can't build iPhone cities that easily in other parts of Asia. The supply chains of companies like Apple are incredibly vulnerable because they're concentrated almost exclusively within China.”

“We often pretend that China has a choice in terms of 'zero Covid' versus opening up. There never was a choice. The simple fact is that China is not ready for a wave on that scale.”

“Ploughing on with zero-Covid could indicate an information deficit. Where nobody really dares to tell Xi Jinping things because he's so powerful.”

“Often, the heads of different departments and companies attend one meeting in the morning about enhancing dynamic zero, and then in the afternoon a meeting about economic growth. The tensions are within Xi's own model for governing the country. The tensions really arise from him.”

“Only Hong Kong and China are saying they are trying to eradicate the virus. It would have worked if other countries did the same but the fact they don't think that way means the virus is always flowing.”

“The regime thinks it needs to maintain a 'zero Covid' policy to maintain its legitimacy. At a huge cost, though... Outbreaks have become so commonplace that it's really a non-event. But the Chinese authorities want to control any small potential source of instability.”

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