• Kaja Kallas
  • Moussa Faki Mahamat
  • Adrian Zenz
  • Matthew Kroenig
  • Andriy Yermak
  • Vitaly Savelyev
  • Oleksandr Korniyenko
  • Dainius Kreivys
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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Jimmy Rushton
    Jimmy Rushton “Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.” 20 hours ago
  • Konstantin Sonin
    Konstantin Sonin “Things are not going according to Putin's plan, but he will endlessly rotate the same small group of loyalists. Putin has always feared to bring new people to the positions of authority - even in the best of times, they must have been nobodies with no own perspectives. Toward the end of his rule, even more so.” 20 hours ago
  • Mark Galeotti
    Mark Galeotti “With an economist taking over the Defence Ministry, and the old minister taking up a policy and advisory role, the technocrats are in the ascendant. The goal though is not peace, but a more efficient war. As Putin digs in for the long term, with the 'special military operation' now being the central organising principle of his regime, he knows he needs technocrats to keep his war machine going.” 20 hours ago
  • Jeff Hawn
    Jeff Hawn “This indicates that the Kremlin is not seeking an exit from Ukraine, but once to extend their ability to endure the conflict as long as possible. Russia is very limited [on] how much they can increase scale, due to economic deficiencies. However, they can maintain a certain level of attritional warfare. And are likely hoping to do that longer than Ukraine can.” 20 hours ago
  • Dmitry Peskov
    Dmitry Peskov “Today, the winner on the battlefield is the one who is more open to innovation, more open to implementation as quickly as possible. It is natural that at the current stage the president [Vladimir Putin] decided that the Ministry of Defence should be headed by a civilian [Andrei Belousov].” 20 hours ago
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Serbia - Russia relations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Serbia - Russia relations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Vuk Vuksanović
Vuk Vuksanović

“This visit [Xi Jinping in Belgrade] shows that Serbia has exchanged Russia for China went it comes to its main partner to bargain with the West. The full-scale invasion of Ukraine placed the Serbo-Russian relationship under close monitoring, so the government sees a benefit in playing the Chinese card more often now since it's deemed to be less provocative. The Balkans, and Serbia in particular, have become even more interesting for China now that one branch of the Belt and Road Initiative through Russia and Belarus was effectively cut off with the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.”

author
Researcher at Belgrade Centre for Security Policy
08 May 2024 6 6
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John Feffer
John Feffer

“Although Serbia hasn't imposed sanctions, it also didn't recognise the breakaway regions, and Vucic was unhappy with Putin's explicit use of Kosovo as a precedent to justify the independent status of the Donbas. Serbia is also dependent on EU assistance, so that serves as a serious brake on any steps Belgrade takes toward Kosovo.”

author
Director of Foreign Policy in Focus
15 Dec 2022 6 5
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Aleksandar Vucic
Aleksandar Vucic

“There will be other important major things of strategic interest for Serbia in the future, and not in the distant future. So we will have the first things before the end of the year in Serbia. These are not strategic, but tactical things are very important.”

author
Serbian president
26 Nov 2021 1 2
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Vladimir Putin
Vladimir Putin

“I think we will be able to agree [on a new contract], we will assign our business entities to finish this work. In any case, we will find a solution that will definitely be acceptable for our Serbian friends.”

author
President of Russia
25 Nov 2021 2 2
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Aleksandar Vucic
Aleksandar Vucic

“Serbia luckily had the courage to build a gas pipeline with Russia. I was told I was crazy because I didn't want to close the coal mines … [but] you can't balance electricity with wind and solar energy. The crisis is much bigger than you think, the prices of construction materials are rising everywhere in Europe … Luckily, we had the courage to build a gas pipeline with Russia [Turkish stream]; if we hadn't, I could just take ropes to hang myself.”

author
Serbian president
11 Oct 2021 8 3
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Vesko Garcevic
Vesko Garcevic

“The EU's waning soft power will slow down the democratisation process in the region and open space for other countries to walk in. There's no such a thing as a limbo in international relations … in the last… particularly five years let's say, China has been filling in the space which is neglected by Brussels. Moscow sees this as an opportunity and will increase its support to groups and politicians like Dodik [Milorad Dodik] in Bosnia or [Serbian President Aleksandar] Vucic in Belgrade or will do its best to keep the situation in Kosovo frozen.”

author
Professor at Boston University
11 Oct 2021 11 8
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Dmitri Trenin
Dmitri Trenin

“Black Sea is essentially a region Russia itself is a part of. It cannot overreach itself in that environment. For Kremlin, the most serious potential threat from Black Sea region is Ukraine joining NATO or hosting a Western army. Currently this seems remote, but Ukraine is a country that has become most hostile towards Russia than any other country in the world. It [Western Balkans] does not pose a threat to Russia and does not offer many opportunities. It is in the Western sphere of influence, including Serbia and Republika Srpska. Russia is using WB [Western Balkans], particularly Serbia, for public relations – to show that there are leaders in Europe that are rejecting that narrative of Russia as an aggressor.”

author
Director of the Carnegie Moscow Center and a former colonel in the Russian army
28 Jul 2021 6 6
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Vuk Vuksanović
Vuk Vuksanović

“For the [Serbian] government, spreading the Chinese, or previously Russian narrative, pays off more politically. It is a product of the stalemate in EU enlargement, but also a product of the fact that the pro-Russian or pro-Chinese narrative is better sold to the electorate of the ruling party. The Serbian leadership also saw that it could benefit much more from a rising power such as China than from a great power with limits, such as Russia. Also, Belgrade understands that the West takes Beijing much more seriously than Moscow, which motivates the Serbian leadership to strive more for the Chinese card in order to use it as a lever of influence in relation to the West.”

author
Researcher at Belgrade Centre for Security Policy
04 Mar 2021 5 7
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Florian Bieber
Florian Bieber

“There are some indications that Vucic is putting more space between himself and Russia. I would not think this to be a long-term move but more a tactical shift. [Vucic] needed it [distance himself from Russia] after the flawed elections and democratic backsliding. A more pro-Western 'look' helps him get support that can cover up these deficiencies.”

author
Professor at the University of Graz and member of the Balkans in Europe Policy Advisory Group (BiEPAG)
10 Nov 2020 2 3
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