Russia war in Ukraine - Russia's strategy | Ipse by Context

Vladimir Putin

Inserted 1 day ago

“We have said many times that whoever is quicker to master the newest means of armed combat wins. We have to be one step ahead. We have everything we need for this, and much has been done, but we need to double and triple our efforts in this area.”

Aje

President of Russia

15 May 2024 1 2

Aleksey Kushch

Inserted 2 days ago

“This is an unexpected, but, unfortunately for Ukraine, a very effective move. Unlike many top Russian officials, Belousov has not been involved in corruption scandals and has a reputation as a workaholic technocrat and a devout Orthodox Christian. Putin wants him to clean the Augean stables of the defence ministry so that military spending spearheads the resurgence of Russia's economy. The effectiveness of Russia's military-industrial complex will be boosted, and instead of being a 'black hole' of budget spendings, the defence ministry may become a driver of economic growth, when war spendings stimulate the growth of Russia's GDP.”

Aljazeera

Kyiv-based analyst

14 May 2024 10 2

Jimmy Rushton

Inserted 3 days ago

“Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.”

Rferl

Kyiv-based foreign policy analyst

13 May 2024 7 2

Mark Galeotti

Inserted 3 days ago

“With an economist taking over the Defence Ministry, and the old minister taking up a policy and advisory role, the technocrats are in the ascendant. The goal though is not peace, but a more efficient war. As Putin digs in for the long term, with the 'special military operation' now being the central organising principle of his regime, he knows he needs technocrats to keep his war machine going.”

Aljazeera

Senior associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

13 May 2024 4 2

Jeff Hawn

Inserted 3 days ago

“This indicates that the Kremlin is not seeking an exit from Ukraine, but once to extend their ability to endure the conflict as long as possible. Russia is very limited [on] how much they can increase scale, due to economic deficiencies. However, they can maintain a certain level of attritional warfare. And are likely hoping to do that longer than Ukraine can.”

Aljazeera

Doctoral candidate and guest teacher at the London School of Economics's international history department

13 May 2024 3 4

Franz-Stefan Gady

Inserted 4 days ago

“The Russians have understood, just as a lot of analysts have, that the major disadvantage that Ukraine is currently suffering from is manpower. By thinning out the frontline, you are increasing the odds of a breakthrough.”

Nytimes

Vienna-based military analyst

12 May 2024 4 4

Sergei Shoigu

Inserted 2 weeks ago

“To maintain the required pace of the offensive … it is necessary to increase the volume and quality of weapons and military equipment supplied to the troops, primarily weapons.”

Aljazeera

Russian Defence Minister

01 May 2024 3 3

Sergei Shoigu

Inserted 3 weeks ago

“In proportion to the threats posed by the United States and its allies, we will continue to improve the composition and structure of the armed forces and increase the production of the most popular weapons and military equipment. We will increase the intensity of attacks on logistics centres and storage bases for Western weapons.”

Aje

Russian Defence Minister

23 Apr 2024 5 3

Kyrylo Budanov

Inserted 3 weeks ago

“According to our assessment, we are anticipating a rather difficult situation shortly. However, it is not catastrophic, and this must be understood. Armageddon will not happen, despite what many are starting to claim. But we anticipate problems from mid-May. The Russians will adopt a multifaceted approach. They are orchestrating a complex operation... It will be a difficult period. [Expect this to unfold] around mid-May to early June.”

Kyivpost

Head of Ukraine's military intelligence service

22 Apr 2024 3 3

Ben Hodges

Inserted 3 weeks ago

“Since the fall of Avdiivka in Ukraine's east on February 17 [2024], its forces have oozed forward, swallowing several villages, as Ukrainian forces have performed tactical retreats. Here we are in April [2024], and [the Russians] are oozing out. Why is that? I think it's because that's the best the Russians can do. They do not have the capability to knock Ukraine out of the war. Russia lacked the ability to equip large armoured formations that could move rapidly, with supporting artillery, engineers and logistics. I don't think it exists. That's why I feel fairly confident that the mission for [Ukrainian] general Oleksandr Syrskyi for the next several months is to stabilise this as much as he can to buy time for Ukraine to grow the size of the army, to rebuild the defence industry of Ukraine, as well as give us time to find more ammunition for them. I think of 2024 as a year of industrial competition. So the army has got to buy time.”

Aljazeera

Retired U.S. General and former Commander of NATO forces in Europe

19 Apr 2024 9 3

Phillips O’Brien

Inserted 1 month ago

“The Russians both seemed to draw as much Ukrainian air defence as possible to Kyiv, then spread the rest out around the country with a series of attacks. And then, when they had basically reduced Kharkiv's air defence to as small as possible, they launched a mass attack against Kharkiv's power.”

Aljazeera

Professor of Strategic Studies at St Andrews University

10 Apr 2024 (approx) 7 2

Matthew Schmidt

Inserted 1 month ago

“Russia is pushing ill-manned, ill-equipped local offensives anywhere it can. But ill-manned with enough bodies might be good enough.”

Cnn

Associate professor and national security expert at the University of New Haven in Connecticut

06 Apr 2024 2 3

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Russia war in Ukraine - Russia's strategy

“We have said many times that whoever is quicker to master the newest means of armed combat wins. We have to be one step ahead. We have everything we need for this, and much has been done, but we need to double and triple our efforts in this area.”

“Shoigu's replacement with a (relatively experienced and apparently competent) economist [Andrei Belousov] pretty clearly signals Putin believes victory in Ukraine will come via outproducing (and outlasting) Ukraine and her Western allies. He's preparing for many more years of war.”

“The Russians have understood, just as a lot of analysts have, that the major disadvantage that Ukraine is currently suffering from is manpower. By thinning out the frontline, you are increasing the odds of a breakthrough.”

“To maintain the required pace of the offensive … it is necessary to increase the volume and quality of weapons and military equipment supplied to the troops, primarily weapons.”

“Russia is pushing ill-manned, ill-equipped local offensives anywhere it can. But ill-manned with enough bodies might be good enough.”

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