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  • Sue Mi Terry
    Sue Mi Terry “Now is not the time to lift sanctions, either. Now, in fact, is the time to double down. If Biden wants to prevent North Korea from acting out, he needs to first provide the government with new incentives to talk-and that means new restrictions Washington can use as carrots. Biden, in other words, needs to take North Korean policy off autopilot and launch a proactive effort to deter Pyongyang. Otherwise, he risks encouraging an already emboldened Kim to stage a major provocation.” 12 hours ago
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Deadly attack at the Iranian diplomatic facility in Syria - Considerations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Deadly attack at the Iranian diplomatic facility in Syria - Considerations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Nader Hashemi
Nader Hashemi

“Biden isn't looking for a Mideast war during an election year. The GOP [Republican Party] are another matter. If, however, Iran were to directly hit targets within Israel or an Israeli embassy somewhere in the world, then Biden would be under huge domestic pressure to respond militarily. If this should happen, we would be on the precipice of a wider regional war, and Netanyahu's plan for instigating this crisis will have come to fruition.”

Aje

author
Associate professor of Middle East and Islamic politics at Georgetown University
12 Apr 2024 9 3
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Elliott Abrams
Elliott Abrams

“I think Iran does not want a big Israel-Hezbollah war right now, so any response will not come in the form of a big Hezbollah action. They have many other ways to respond ... for example by trying to blow up an Israeli embassy.”

author
Middle East expert at the Council on Foreign Relations U.S. think tank
03 Apr 2024 3 1
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Bassam Abu Abdallah
Bassam Abu Abdallah

“Before Monday there were rules of engagement, but now it's an all-out war between Israel and the resistance axis. It is now clear that the trend is towards escalation. We could start to see increased attacks against US bases in Syria, Iraq or elsewhere.”

Aje

author
Director of the Damascus Centre for Strategic Research
02 Apr 2024 7 1
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Ali Vaez
Ali Vaez

“By targeting an Iranian diplomatic facility, Israel has crossed a line. Iran's dilemma is that failure to respond could signal weakness to Israel, but retaliation risks a harsher US or Israeli action.”

Aje

author
International Crisis Group’s Iran Project Director and Senior Adviser to the President
02 Apr 2024 2 1
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Dorsa Jabbari
Dorsa Jabbari

“If Iran doesn't respond strongly enough, many here believe it will be seen as a sign of weakness, not only to Israel and the United States, but also to a number of its proxies in the region. If Iran does react strongly, it could risk a full-out confrontation with the US. It's really a tricky moment. The rhetoric coming from Iranian officials, as well as the supreme leader, indicates there will be a strong response.”

author
Al Jazeera’s journalist reporting from Tehran
02 Apr 2024 2 1
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