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  • Sue Mi Terry
    Sue Mi Terry “Now is not the time to lift sanctions, either. Now, in fact, is the time to double down. If Biden wants to prevent North Korea from acting out, he needs to first provide the government with new incentives to talk-and that means new restrictions Washington can use as carrots. Biden, in other words, needs to take North Korean policy off autopilot and launch a proactive effort to deter Pyongyang. Otherwise, he risks encouraging an already emboldened Kim to stage a major provocation.” 15 hours ago
  • Christopher Cavoli
    Christopher Cavoli “Russians don't have the numbers necessary to do a strategic breakthrough. More to the point, they don't have the skill and capability to do it, to operate at the scale necessary to exploit any breakthrough to strategic advantage. They do have the ability to make local advances and they have done some of that.” 15 hours ago
  • Nazar Voloshin
    Nazar Voloshin “The situation in the Kharkiv sector remains complicated but is evolving in a dynamic manner. Our defence forces have partially stabilised the situation. The advance of the enemy in certain zones and localities has been halted.” 20 hours ago
  • Volodymyr Zelenskiy
    Volodymyr Zelenskiy “The situation in the Kharkiv region is generally under control, and our soldiers are inflicting significant losses on the occupier. However, the area remains extremely difficult.” 20 hours ago
  • Bezalel Smotrich
    Bezalel Smotrich “Defense Minister Gallant announced today his support for the establishment of a Palestinian terrorist state as a reward for terrorism and Hamas for the most terrible massacre of the Jewish people since the Holocaust.” 21 hours ago
  • Yoav Gallant
    Yoav Gallant “I must reiterate … I will not agree to the establishment of Israeli military rule in Gaza. Israel must not establish civilian rule in Gaza.” 21 hours ago
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Considerations regarding a potential Israel military operation in Rafah

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Considerations regarding a potential Israel military operation in Rafah.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“Throughout this Israeli war on Gaza, there hasn't been a warning publicly made by the US that Israel has heeded. It is indeed unclear to what extent such warnings are just optics of putting pressure on the Israeli government while continuing to support its every move. In this sense, one should take with a grain of salt reports that the Biden administration is holding off one shipment of weapons to Israel to pressure it into halting the full-scale invasion of Rafah.”

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Palestinian journalist
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“The US must now use ALL its leverage to demand an immediate ceasefire, the end of the attacks on Rafah, and the immediate delivery of massive amounts of humanitarian aid to people living in desperation. Our leverage is clear. Over the years, the United States has provided tens of billions of dollars in military aid to Israel.”

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Vermont Senator
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“We've been very clear … from the very beginning that Israel shouldn't launch a major attack into Rafah without accounting for and protecting the civilians that are in that battlespace. We've not made a final determination on how to proceed with that shipment [of weapons].”

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US Secretary of Defense
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“Rafah is now a city of children, who have nowhere safe to go in Gaza. If large-scale military operations start, not only will children be at risk from the violence, but also from chaos and panic, and at a time where their physical and mental states are already weakened.”

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UNICEF Executive Director
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“According to international law, Israel must ensure civilians have access to medical care, adequate food, safe water and sanitation. Failure to meet these obligations may amount to forced displacement, which is a war crime. There are strong indications that this [Rafah offensive] is being conducted in violation of international humanitarian law.”

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Spokeswoman with the UN rights office
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“I appeal to all those with influence over Israel to do everything in their power to help avert even more tragedy. The international community has a shared responsibility to promote a humanitarian ceasefire, the unconditional release of all hostages and a massive surge in life-saving aid. It is time for the parties to seize the opportunity and secure a deal for the sake of their own people.”

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Secretary-general of the United Nations
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“I warn against a major offensive on Rafah. A million people cannot simply vanish into thin air. They need protection. They need more humanitarian aid urgently … the Rafah and Kerem Shalom [Karem Abu Salem] border crossings must immediately be reopened.”

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Foreign Minister of Germany
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“What we have witnessed in the past few hours is that they talk about an agreement on the first stage. It could be understood that Hamas wants to release itself from the pressure globally, including the United States. So, they are giving concessions on the first stage, which leads to 40 days of ceasefire and exchange of captives. I think 33 old and sick captives. And then moving on to other stages. But we are seeing that we are going back to the main conditions, which means we are still talking about the main principles [complete ceasefire and withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza] that Hamas talked about. As the time of some sort of agreement on the first stage came, the Israeli military and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu came to say actually, there is no agreement: We will go to Rafah regardless of any agreement. It reflects the divisions within the Israelis and crisis within the Israeli politics. On the other hand, Hamas has been more cautious. They do not want to show real progress made but they also do not want to say things have not changed. I think it's obvious some change has happened otherwise we would not expect [CIA chief] William Burns to be in the region.”

author
Professor of contemporary Middle East politics at Qatar University
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“The idea that we will stop the war before achieving all its objectives is out of the question. We will enter Rafah and we will eliminate the Hamas battalions there - with or without a deal, in order to achieve the total victory.”

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Prime Minister of Israel
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“But revenge is not a strategy. It is pure insanity that Israel is now more than six months into this war and the Israeli military leadership - and virtually the entire political class - has allowed Netanyahu to continue to pursue a 'total victory' there, including probably soon plunging deep into Rafah, without any exit plan or Arab partner lined up to step in once the war ends. If Israel ends up with an indefinite occupation of both Gaza and the West Bank, it would be a toxic military, economic and moral overstretch that would delight Israel's most dangerous foe, Iran, and repel all its allies in the West and the Arab world.”

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New York Times foreign affairs Opinion columnist
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“We already know the war cabinet has not approved a response and the Americans had a big share in it, so it looks as if Israel won't respond for a while and we'll go back to our business in Gaza. Prime Minister Netanyahu still needs to resolve two things in Gaza: the release of captives and the Hamas battalions. I think Netanyahu might use this wave of support for Israel during the Iranian attack to go down to Rafah. But he cannot do it without fully coordinating with the Americans. This is the issue that is really bothering him, because without going back to Rafah he cannot describe the war as a victory.”

author
Former director of Israel’s foreign ministry
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“I think what is slowly developing is global isolation and condemnation for Israel, it's developing into a situation where it could become a pariah state. Go back to apartheid in South Africa - that country was eventually suspended from the United Nations, for 20 years it wasn't even let to take part in UN activities. And I think it's that sort of isolation and global disdain that Israel might be facing, and it's exactly that that this weekend the US Secretary of State Antony Blinken warned Prime Minister Netanyahu of when he talked about the possible Rafah offensive.”

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Al Jazeera’s diplomatic editor
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“Even if you go to Rafah, you have lost the war. Despite all the massacres, Gaza's people will not surrender to you. The people of Gaza are still embracing the resistance. Who are you negotiating with if Hamas has been defeated? All Palestinian factions are unanimous in stopping the aggression, contrary to what is being reported that Hamas is obstructing the negotiations.”

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Secretary-General of Hezbollah
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“Any ground assault on Rafah would incur massive loss of life and would heighten the risk of further atrocity crimes. This must not be allowed to happen.”

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Spokesperson for the U.N. Human Rights Office
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“There is international pressure and it's growing, but particularly when the international pressure rises, we must close ranks, we need to stand together against the attempts to stop the war. The military would operate against Hamas all through the Gaza Strip including Rafah, the last Hamas stronghold. Whoever tells us not to act in Rafah is telling us to lose the war and that will not happen.”

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Prime Minister of Israel
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“Rafah is the last bastion of Hamas control and there remain battalions in Rafah which Israel must dismantle to achieve its goals in this war. The only potential delay to the Israeli assault on Rafah could come should Hamas give ground in hostage negotiations and hand over the prisoners it took on Oct. 7. Even that would only delay the advance on Rafah unless it is coupled with the demilitarization of the city and surrender of the Hamas battalions there.”

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Former Israeli intelligence official and a negotiator during the first and second intifadas
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“The Israeli offensive in Rafah could have very tragic consequences for the people in the area. You can imagine that any extensive military action there will have a devastating effect on the humanitarian situation. People are already suffering for lack of shelter, food, medicine, sanitation. The current scale of the conflict … is [already] leading to a daily loss of life for men, women, and children. And I think the international community is conscious, if not tainted … and strained by what is happening to civilians in Gaza.”

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Egyptian Foreign Minister
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